At some point tonight America will be told they have a new president. The 45th president of the United States will be Mitt Romney.
The historical whirlwinds and anecdotal evidence is favorable for a challenger’s year. Romney has distinguished himself far more than a challenger. He’s proven himself to be a viable alternative to President Obama and that is the only reason considering the circumstances, the majority of voters need.
As for the hard numbers, they back these claims. Obama is stuck somewhere between 46 and 48 percent on every issue. That includes his personal likability. Obama receives anywhere from 52 to 54 percent in disapproval on almost every major issue. Conversely, Romney finds himself over 50 percent on all these issues. (Please check my archives as I have went to much greater detail than I am going into here). Bottom line: Obama will not outperform these numbers.
Considering these factors, and many more, Romney will win as his numbers suggest. I’m giving Romney a margin victory of at least 5 points. I’ll say likely by 52 percent to 47 percent. But if Republican enthusiasm and turnout goes as being forecasted, Romney could win this thing 53 to 46 percent.
This will mean a few things. Romney will likely sweep the competitive states and pick up a state or two inside Obama’s firewall. That’s exactly what will happen.
Romney will win Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. In addition to these states, Romney will win Wisconsin and either Michigan, Minnesota, or Pennsylvania. My personal take is he wins Michigan and Pennsylvania.
So in summary, Romney wins the popular vote 52 (or 53) to 47 (or 46) percent. Additionally, Romney wins the Electoral College with a total at 301 or upwards to 321 EVs.
I agree, I had the opportunity to speak with John Fund last week, I asked him two direct questions 1) Do we agree Romney wins? without any hesitation he said yes, 2) do we agree he wins by landslide? he hesitated just a second, smiled and said ” he wins by 3 to 5 minimum, bet on it.
personally, I think he wins larger than that. 2010 was simply a dress rehearsal for today.
Thank you, Jason, for protecting our beloved country with your military service. You are our hero. I also appreciate your enthusiasm and positivity in calling the race in our favor (Mitt’s favor, but really OURS, too). I pray that your predictions come true. I join millions of other conservatives who feel emotionally and physically sick, even debilitated, over the stress of this election, especially today. God won’t let Obama and his thugs win by deception. If they can’t win with honesty, then they lose.
Thank you dear. Enjoy and bask in the returns.
I’m confident.