Instead of writing a threat assessment that would require hundreds of words and repeating what has already been written by others, here is a threat tree I put together as a visual reference of possible outcomes.
Like if you a agree and be sure to share your thoughts.

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About Jason Bradley
Is a former military member with experience in Iraq and time in Europe. He lives in the Washington DC area with his wife and two young children. His background is in national security and has remained in the field since separating from the military. He is a political science major with strong interests in American politics, history, economics, and foreign policy. This blog is a way to express his interests. He also contributes at Breitbart.com -- Big Peace and Big Government. Email him at twe.jason@gmail.com